champion Quintuple world champion, Brazil, as often, leaves with the favors of the bookmakers to win the World Cup. But the favorites are in a pocket handkerchief since we then find France, defending champion, England, Argentina and Spain with odds quite close to each other each time. For bookmakers, the selection that will be crowned on December 18 at Stade Lusail is certainly in this quintet. Germany, the Netherlands, Portugal and Belgium start from quite a bit further. The ratings were then sore from Denmark and Croatia, vice-world champion in title .
What to expect from the 2024 World Cup?
To show you as relevant as possible in your 2024 World Cup forecasts, it is necessary to carry out an inventory of the forces present.
The most successful country in the history of the competition, Brazil, is destined to wear an eternal costume of favorites. Since their home fiasco in 2014 (7-1 humiliation against Germany in the semi-finals), the Seleção have disappointed a lot and Belgium sent them home in the quarter-finals in 2018 (1-2). Why would it be any different this time around? Firstly because the Auriverde rely on individuals in full swing like Neymar and Vinicius. Then because the recent results are very good (first and undefeated in qualifying in the South America Zone and finalist in the last Copa America) and finally because stability is there with coach Tite, in office since 2016. Placed in a group G that they should fly over (Serbia, Switzerland, Cameroon), the Brazilians will have a priori a fairly “easy” table before a possible quarter-final against Germany, Belgium or Spain.
Despite their title holder status, the Blues are not the bookmakers' number one favorite and that's quite logical. Indeed, no winner of the World Cup has managed to chain two consecutive coronations since 1962 and the exploit of Brazil. To make matters worse, recent results are mixed between humiliation at Euro 2024 with elimination against Switzerland in the round of 16 and the last chaotic campaign in the League of Nations (2 draws and 2 losses). From an individual point of view, the executives of 2018 are far from being at the top: Paul Pogba is in danger of forfeiting, N'Golo Kanté is struggling to string together matches with Chelsea and Antoine Griezmann is in an uncomfortable situation at the Atlético Madrid. There remains the impressive attacking potential with Karim Benzema and Kylian Mbappé, two players capable of changing the course of a match at any time. With Denmark, Tunisia and Australia, the men of Didier Deschamps have also been rather spared and they will be big favorites in Group D.
4thin the previous edition and in search of a second world title since 1966, England is not necessarily the number one favourite, but it is clear that the Three Lions have been present in major events in recent years, despite the disappointment generated by the failure in the final of the Euro on penalties against Italy (1-1, 2-3 on pens). With an element like Harry Kane, top scorer of the previous edition (6 goals), Gareth Southgate's men seem well equipped to climb back into the last four. The United States, Wales and Iran are not enough to scare the British in Group B, but the prospect of possibly meeting France in the quarter-finals is necessarily less encouraging
With a Lionel Messi less radiant than in the past, Argentina is not mentioned spontaneously as one of the 2-3 big favorites for the World Cup. Still, the Albiceleste finished undefeated in qualifying in the South American Zone and won the last Copa America against Brazil in the final to finally offer a major title to Messi in selection. With Saudi Arabia, Mexico and Poland as adversaries, Group C is not enough to scare Lionel Scaloni's men but be wary all the same because they then "cross" in the 8th round with Group D of France, their executioner in 2018…
Eliminated in the round of 16 of the 2018 edition against Russia (1-1, 3-4 pens) for what marked the end of a cycle, Spain hit rock bottom. Since then, La Roja has started to recover under the leadership of coach Luis Enrique but also with the young guards made in Barça like Pedri and Gavi. Euro 2024 allowed the Spaniards to sign their comeback by climbing to the semi-finals where the future Italian winner needed penalties to stop them (1-1, 2-4 tab). A first semi-final since the coronation of 2010 would set the record straight. Be careful, however, not to leave too many feathers in the group stage where the opponents will be called Germany, Costa Rica, and Japan. An entire program !
It's hard not to talk about the decline for Germany since their title of world champion in 2014. Eliminated in the group stage in 2018, the Mannschaft disappointed again at Euro 2024 by falling in the round of 16 against England (0-2). But the replacement of Joachim Löw by Hansi Flick as coach then ushered in a new era and the Germans have yet to lose under their new strongman. This is not enough to make Leroy Sané and his teammates the big favorites of this edition but a place in the semi-finals would already symbolize the revival of Germany, which however inherited a strong group E with the Spain, Costa Rica, and Japan.
It's hard to know on which foot to dance with these Oranje capable of anything. Finalists in 2010 and 3rd in 2014, the Batavians paid for themselves a long crossing of the desert by missing Euro 2016 then the 2018 World Cup in quick succession. Back for the last Euro, the Dutch impressed in the group stage to finally be humiliated by the Czech Republic from the stage of the round of 16 (0-2). After this new affront, the return of Louis van Gaal allowed to put the points on the i and the Dutch will aim at least for the quarters, they who will evolve in an affordable Group A with Senegal, Ecuador and the Qatari host.
Qualified only through the play-offs, the winners of Euro 2016 have not impressed many people in recent years. Released by Uruguay in the round of 16 of the previous edition, the men of Fernando Santos were also eliminated by Belgium (1-0) in the round of 16 of the last Euro and they no longer seem to have the weight in the meetings direct elimination. To make matters worse, Cristiano Ronaldo is not at his best at the start of the season.
3rd in the previous edition, Belgium is not considered one of the big favorites. After having eliminated Portugal (1-0) in the 8th round, the Red Devils were indeed taken out by Italy in the quarter-finals of the last Euro (1-2) and they have since lost against all the “big guys” that they faced including France (2-3), Italy again (2-1) and the Netherlands (1-4) each time in the League of Nations. With Thibaut Courtois and Kevin de Bruyne, however, Roberto Martinez's men have talented elements and the mix can quickly become explosive if Eden Hazard and Romelu Lukaku get back up to speed. Be careful because group F (Croatia, Morocco, Canada) does not look easy.
Vice-world champion in title, Croatia does not even appear in the Top 10 of the favorites of most bookmakers. Nothing very surprising in the end since the Croatian selection rather gives an impression of decline in recent years. During the last Euro, Luka Modric and his gang thus displayed a sluggish face in the group stage (only one victory) and Spain sent them home from the round of 16 (3-5 ap). Be careful all the same not to bury the Vatreni too quickly who will however have to deal with a group F raised against Belgium, Canada and Morocco.
Often disappointing in recent editions, Brazil seems perfectly equipped to win a 6th crown . Arriving at the top of the qualifications in the South American Zone while remaining undefeated, the Seleção have an impressive reservoir and can count on a Neymar again at the top of his game and on a Vinicius Jr. finally undisputed in Real Madrid to dream of the ultimate trophy. Defensively, the Alisson-Marquinhos-Casemiro trio also has something to impress. A 6th star for the Auriverde nation is quoted at 5.50 at 1xbet.
Between the attractive odds and the high probability of seeing this bet come true, betting on the presence of the Netherlands in the quarter-finals is quite tempting . Since the return of Louis van Gaal in the summer of 2024, the Oranje have inherited a relatively affordable Group A where they are expected to finish ahead of Senegal. They would then meet in 8th the 2nd of group B, which is certainly Wales, the United States or Iran if England ends well in the lead. Nothing insurmountable for the Batavians who have reached at least the quarters during 4 of their last 5 participations in the World Cup. A bet quoted at 1.65 at MelBet.
Other odds for the quarter-finals
3rd Prediction of the 2024 World Cup: Spain in the semi-finals
Can Spain win the World Cup? Difficult to say, however it would not be surprising to see La Roja climb at least in the semi-finals, as during the last Euro. Undefeated for 8 games at the time of writing, Luis Enrique's band is particularly difficult to knock down and has the perfect profile to climb into the last four. A bet quoted at 2.61 at Vbet.
The other odds for the semi-finals
Our advice for betting on the 2024 World Cup
If you want to bet on the teams that will reach the quarter-finals or the semi-finals, do not forget to study scrupulously the final table. Indeed, if the hierarchy is respected, there is a risk of potentially seeing quarters like England-France, Netherlands-Argentina and Brazil against Germany or Spain. Difficult in this case to decide on the winner of these matches…
Are you looking for a World Cup prediction to try in each match to pocket gains in the long term? In this case, we clearly advise you to bet on “more goals in the 2ndhalf ”. This bet was indeed verified in 62% of the meetings of the 2014 edition and in 62% of those of the 2018 edition, which therefore reflects a marked trend. You should also know that the 0-0 at halftime is verified a little more than once in three (39.1% of matches in 2014 and 37.5% in 2018).
On the other hand, the World Cup does not seem to be the ideal ground if you want to try bets like “both teams to score” and “over or under 2.5 goals”. The "both teams to score" bet was verified in 53% of the matches in the 2014 edition and in 50% of those in 2018, so it is very unpredictable. Moreover, 57% of the matches in 2014 had generated more than 2.5 goals, but this percentage rose to 48% in 2018, making this bet very unstable.
Another interesting World Cup forecast consists of betting on the number of goals scored by opting for the interval 2-3 goals. 56.3% of the 64 games of the 2018 edition ended with 2 or 3 goals and they were 43.8% in 2014. These two percentages are quite substantial and can therefore be worth a try.
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Your 2024 World Cup bets with Vbet
A company created in 2003, Vbet is one of the sponsors of AS Monaco. With this bookmaker, bet on the 64 matches of the 2024 World Cup but also on dozens of championships. Currently, benefit from a welcome offer with up to 100 euros offered if your first bet is a loser.
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